Stanford vs California 10/20/2012

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Stanford winning 58% of simulations, and California 42% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Stanford commits fewer turnovers in 38% of simulations and they go on to win 65% when they take care of the ball. California wins 52% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Stepfan Taylor is averaging 138 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (38% chance) then he helps his team win 71%. Isi Sofele is averaging 50 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (25% chance) then he helps his team win 55%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is CAL +2.5

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